16 กรกฎาคม 2552
) IFA's Opinion regarding the connected transaction of TTW
14.40%1/
Return on equity (%) 18.64%
21.39% 20.82%
Efficiency ratios
6.62%1/
Return on assets (%) 6.41%
6.27% 7.43%
11.87%1/
Return on fixed assets (%) 9.84%
10.60% 12.78%
0.21 1/
Assets turnover (times) 0.16
0.18 0.20
Financial policy ratios
Debt to equity ratio (times) 1.75
2.96 1.15 1.21
1.73 1/
Interest coverage (times) 2.70
3.56 4.84
Leverage ratio (cash basis) (times) 0.50
0.29 0.46 0.07
Dividend payout ratio (%) 38.11%
17.66% 44.06% 0.00%
Note: 1/ Annualized for comparative purpose.
Page 32 of the total
92 pages
The Opinion Report
of the Independent Financial Advisor
Analysis of performance and financial position of the Company and its
subsidiaries
Performance
Income from sale of tap water
Almost all revenues of TTW are revenues from sales of tap water to PWA.
During 2006-2008, revenues from
sales of tap water amounted to Bt. 1,697.8 million, Bt. 2,567.0 million and
Bt. 3,569.3 million, respectively,
representing the growth rate of 25.2%, 51.2% and 39.0% from the previous year
respectively. The growth in 2007
and 2008 resulted from purchase of PTW's ordinary shares in the amount of 98%
of the paid-up capital and
recognition of PTW's income since July 2007. The other contributing factors
were rising water demand as well as
increase of MOQ and selling price of tap water.
In the 3-month period of 2009, total revenues were recorded at Bt.
956.51 million, up 11.43% from Bt. 858.42
million in 2008 due mainly to increase in income from sales of tap water by
approximately 11.61% from the
corresponding period of the previous year. This was attributable to the
increase of tap water sales to PWA and
upward adjustment of selling price to Bt. 23.55/cu.m. Revenues from sales of
tap water in this period amounted to
Bt. 943.03 million or 98.59% of total revenues.
Service income
Service income is generated from BJT, a subsidiary of PTW that produces
tap water for Amata City Industrial
Estate. The Company started recognizing the said income since 2007 which
accounted for Bt. 23.04 million, Bt.
36.01 million and Bt. 9.79 million or represented 0.88%, 0.99% and 1.02% of
total revenues during 2007-2008 and
the 3-month period of 2009, respectively.
Cost of tap water sales and cost of service
Cost of tap water sales and cost of service mainly are depreciation
of production assets, electricity,
chemical cost, rent of land for laying raw water pipes, labor cost and supplies.
During 2006-2008, cost of tap water sales and cost of service
amounted to Bt. 496.1 million, Bt. 780.8
million and Bt. 1,176.9 million respectively representing 29.2%, 30.1% and
32.6% of revenue from sale of tap water
and service income, respectively. The increase in 2007 and 2008 was caused by
recognition of cost of sale of PTW
and BJT according to the investment period. The cost of sale moved up due to
rising production volume that
necessitated use of more chemicals and electricity. The Company and its
subsidiaries also incurred cost of
infrastructure maintenance of Bt. 63.7 million.
In the 3-month period of 2009, cost of tap water sales and cost of
service rose by 15.19% from Bt. 262.09
million in the same period of 2008 to Bt. 301.91 million or 31.69% of
revenues from sales of tap water and service
income. This was due mainly to increase of tap water sales to PWA according to
the rising MOQ from 250,000
cu.m./day in the 3-month period of 2008 to 300,000 cu.m./day in the 3-month
period of 2009, hence higher
Page 33 of the total 92 pages
The Opinion Report
of the Independent Financial Advisor
production costs such as electricity and chemicals. Other expense was
maintenance of water production plant and
distribution station of PTW that moved up by Bt. 5 million. The Company also
refunded to PWA the tap water fee
discount which accumulated from July 21, 2004 to January 21, 2009 in the
amount of Bt. 25.7 million.
Selling and administrative expenses
Selling and administrative expenses during 2006-2008 rose by 101.3%,
19.1%, and 34.5% to Bt. 105.1
million, Bt. 125.1 million and Bt. 168.2 million, representing 6.1%, 4.8%,
and 4.6% of total revenues, respectively.
The increase of selling and administrative expenses in 2007 resulted
from inclusion of PTW's selling and
administrative expenses from July to December 2007 and expenses relating to
investment in PTW such as
borrowing fee, engagement of legal advisor and independent appraiser, etc. In
2008, apart from the selling and
administrative expenses of PTW for the whole year of 2008, there were costs of
maintenance of the access road to
production plant and expenses on shares listing on the SET.
In the 3-month period of 2009, selling and administrative expenses
moved up by 42.82% from Bt. 24.22
million in the same period of the previous year to Bt. 34.59 million or 3.62%
of total revenues. This was due to
increase in the Company's selling and administrative expenses, i.e. personnel
expense, legal advisory fee,
advertising cost, as well as expenses and fees relating to debentures issue.
Finance cost and interest expenses
Finance cost and interest expenses surged from Bt. 437.0 million in
2006 to Bt. 670.6 million in 2007
representing 25.4% and 25.6% of total revenues, respectively. This was because
finance cost of PTW from July to
December was included in the Company's consolidated financial statements and
the MLR in 2007 edged up from
the previous year. In 2008, finance cost and interest expenses increased
further to Bt. 728.7 million owing to
inclusion of PTW's finance cost for the whole period in the consolidated
financial statements. However, the
Company's finance cost dropped by Bt. 51.7 million or 9.2% resulting from
short-term loan repayment of Bt. 3,000
million and long-term loan repayment of Bt. 1,028.8 million. PTW also repaid
long-term loan of Bt. 418 million.
Finance cost and interest expenses for the 3-month period of 2009
increased by 21.94% from Bt. 210.04
million in the same period of the previous year to Bt. 256.13 million,
representing 26.78% of total revenues, due
mainly to prepayment of long-term loan of Bt. 5,839.8 million with a
prepayment fee of Bt. 116.8 million and financial
representative cost of subsidiary of Bt. 3.0 million. The Company repaid
short-term loan of Bt. 3,000 million in May
2008, hence no interest expense on such loan.
Page 34 of the total 92 pages
The Opinion
Report of the Independent Financial Advisor
Net profit
The Company's profitability is satisfactory with gross profit margin
of 70.8%, 69.9%, 67.4% and 68.31% in
2006-2008 and the 3-month period of 2009, respectively. The net profit
amounted to Bt. 674.4 million, Bt. 920.1
million, Bt. 1,358.4 million, and Bt. 305.8 million respectively over the said
periods, which led to a net profit margin of
39.2%, 35.1%, 37.3% and 32.0%, respectively. The consistent increase in net
profit resulted from the above-
mentioned factors.
Financial position
Assets
Total assets in 2006-2008 and as of March 31, 2009 amounted to Bt.
10,681.9 million, Bt. 18,681.2 million,
Bt. 17,894.6 million and Bt. 19,063.3 million, respectively, of which around
83%-89% were non-current assets.
Considerable growth of non-current assets from Bt. 9,375.3 million in 2006 to
Bt. 16,538.9 million in 2007 was
ascribed to the Company's purchase of PTW's ordinary shares in the amount of
98% of its paid-up capital. Major
assets were assets for production of tap water that must be transferred at end
of concession-net of Bt. 4,258.2
million and rights to produce and sell tap water-net of Bt. 3,079.6 million.
In 2008, non-current assets decreased by
Bt. 585.3 million as a result of depreciation of property, plant and equipment
and amortization of rights to produce
tap water which must be transferred at end of concession, and rights to
operate tap water production and
distribution business. As of March 31, 2009, major non-current assets are
property, plant and equipment, net of Bt.
8,853.6 million, assets for production of tap water that must be transferred
at end of concession, net of Bt. 4,074.2
million, and rights to produce and sell tap water, net of Bt. 2,836.1 million.
The asset turnover stayed rather low at 0.13 times, 0.16 times, 0.18
times and 0.19 times during 2006-2008
and as of March 31, 2009, respectively. This however is considered normal for
infrastructure business which
requires huge investment and generates income according to the agreement period.
Current assets in 2006-2008 and as of March 31, 2009 were posted at
Bt. 1,306.6 million, Bt. 2,142.3 million,
Bt. 1,940.9 million and Bt. 3,277.9 million, respectively. Major current
assets were cash and cash equivalents,
current investments, restricted bank deposits, trade accounts receivable and
trade accounts receivable mainly from
PWA.
Liabilities
In 2006-2008 and as of March 31, 2009, the Company had total
liabilities of Bt. 6,792.1 million, Bt. 13,966.4
million, Bt. 9,558.2 million and Bt. 10,418.2 million, representing 63.58%,
74.76%, 53.41% and 54.65% of total
assets, respectively. Most were long-term loans from financial institutions.
Nevertheless, in the 3-month period of
Page 35 of the total 92 pages
The Opinion Report
of the Independent Financial Advisor
2009, the Company issued debentures in the total amount of Bt. 7,000 million
for loan repayment, leading debts to
financial institutions to decline from Bt. 9,309.35 million in 2008 to Bt.
3,286.40 million as of March 31, 2009.
Shareholders' equity
The shareholders' equity in 2006-2008 and as of March 31, 2009 was
recorded at Bt. 3,889.9 million, Bt.
4,714.8 million, Bt. 8,336.4 million and Bt. 8,645.0 million representing
36.42%, 25.24%, 46.59% and 45.35%
respectively. Increase in the shareholders' equity was attributed to its
yearly profitability. In 2008, the Company
increased its capital through issuance of 700 million ordinary shares to the
public at Bt. 4.20 per share, totaling Bt.
2,940 million, which led premium on net share value (after securities offering
fee) to grow to Bt. 2,637.77 million. At
year-end of 2006-2008 and as of March 31, 2009, the debt to equity ratio was
1.75 times, 2.96 times, 1.15 times,
and 1.21 times respectively, which was considered moderate.
Liquidity
Cash flows from operating activities increased from Bt. 740.2
million in 2006 to Bt. 1,617.6 million in 2007
and Bt. 2,695.5 million in 2008 resulting from consistent profit. As for
investing activities, the Company invested an
amount of Bt. 3,859.4 million in PTW in 2007. Cash flows from financing
activities came from Bt. 3,998.3 million of
loan from financial institutions for investment in PTW's ordinary shares. In
2008, the Company recorded net cash
flows used in financing activities of Bt. 2,828.9 million with proceeds
obtained from share capital increase of Bt.
2,854.8 million. The Company also paid short- and long-term loans of Bt.
4,451.2 million and dividend of Bt. 598.5
million.
Liquidity ratio as of March 31, 2009 rose to 5.04 times from 1.69
times, 0.46 times and 1.43 times in 2006-
2008 respectively, which is considered favorable. A sharp rise in liquidity
ratio as of March 31, 2009 was due to
increase of cash from debenture issue.
1.6.8 Industry situation and competition
Thailand has a total area of about 320.70 million rai and the average
precipitation of 1,482.37 millimeters.
Precipitation is a source of water, i.e. surface water from river and canal
and groundwater. Water volume in the
country totals approximately 745,085 million cubic meters. Volume of water
from sources that are natural flows like
river and canal approximates 200,830 million cubic meters. As such, Thailand
needs water system management.
Out of the total areas, 60.29 million rai or 18.80% has potential to be
developed into irrigation area. In 2008, the
development of about 28.35 rai was completed. Details are as follows:
Page 36 of the total 92 pages
The
Opinion Report of the Independent Financial Advisor
Volume of Proportion of
Potential Irrigation
Average
water from irrigation area
areas areas
Water volume
Watershed precipitation
natural flows against
(million (million
(million cu.m.)
(mm.)
sources potential areas
rai) rai)
(million cu.m.) (%)
1. Salawin, Kok, Ping, Wang, Yom, Nan 1,451.37 185,957.36
45,747.66 10.35 5.12 49.48
2. Khong, She, Moon 1,438.32 252,816.31
48,804.64 28.25 6.22 22.03
3. Chao Phraya, Sakaekrang, Pasak, 1,155.44 120,301.11
33,120.42 11.93 11.68 97.96
Tha Chin, Mae Klong, Petchburi, west
coast area
4. Pranchin Buri, Bang Pakong, Ton Le 1,761.80 68,177.18
26,703.53 5.02 2.67 53.17
Sap, east coast area
5. East coast of the South, Ta Pe, 1,604.93 117,833.70
46,453.85 4.75 2.65 55.76
Songkhla Lake, Pattani Lake, west coast
of the South
Total 1,482.37 745,085.66
200,830.10 60.29 28.35 47.01
Source: Information of irrigation project 2008, Department of Water
Resources, Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment
The above table indicates that the central region has developed most
of its potential areas into irrigation
areas despite lower precipitation compared to other regions. Water consumption
in Thailand is mainly for industry,
agriculture and household. Major water sources are precipitation, irrigation
system and tap water, depending on
the purpose of water usage.
Quality of water for consumption is improved through tap water
production process which relies on the
sources, i.e. irrigation system, rivers or underground water wells. In
Thailand, tap water business for Bangkok,
Samut Prakan, and Nonthaburi is operated by the Metropolitan Waterworks
Authority ("MWA") and for the provincial
areas by the Provincial Waterworks Authority ("PWA"). The past performance of
PWA is shown in the table below:
2004
2005 2006 2007
1. No. of consumers at year-end (person) 2,214,103
2,306,962 2,479,776 2,628,470
2. Normal increase rate (%) 8.88
9.20 8.39 6.85
3. Actual production volume (million cu.m.) 858.07
944.99 1,016.46 1,111.61
4. Distribution volume (million cu.m.) 827.11
909.43 981.18 1,077.13
5. Volume of sale (million cu.m.) 606.11
678.09 722.21 794.68
6. Loss rate in distribution system (%) 26.63
25.26 26.31 26.12
7. Average consumption (cu.m./person/day) 0.82
0.85 0.84 0.86
Source: PWA's annual report 2007
Privately owned companies can also produce tab water by applying for a
concession from the Department
of Water Resources, Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment. The water
sources can be surface water
Page 37 of the total 92
pages
The Opinion
Report of the Independent Financial Advisor
sources, private reservoirs, rivers, seas and underground water wells. As of
May 27, 2009, the Department of Water
Resources granted such concession to 66 private companies, classified by
region and size of tap water system as
follows:
Areas Size of tab water system (no. of Total capacity
Concession period (no. of companies)
companies) (cu.m./day)
Small Medium Large Total
5 10 15 25 Total
years years years years
1) Operators granted concession with the concession still valid - 34 companies
North 2 - - 2
1,988 2 - - - 2
Central 4 4 5 13
1,017,714 5 - - 8 13
East 6 - - 6
6,350 2 - 3 1 6
North East 1 - - 1
930 1 - - - 1
South 11 1 12
16,857 10 - 1 1 12
Total 24 5 5 34
1,043,839 20 - 4 10 34
2) Operators with expired concession and in the process of renewal request to
the Cabinet - 32 companies
North 9 1 - 10
10,779 6 3 1 10
Central 17 1 1 19
61,019 1 17 - 1 19
East 1 - - 1
600 - 1 - - 1
North East - - - -
- - - - - -
South 2 - - 2
1,537 2 2
Total 29 2 1 32
73,935 1 26 3 2 32
Notes: 1. Small tap water system has production capacity of not over
3,000 cu.m./day.
2. Medium tap water system has production capacity in a range
of 3,001 - 15,000 cu.m./day.
3. Large tap water system has production capacity of over
15,000 cu.m./day.
Hence, from the past, there are some industrial estates which have not
themselves operate the tap water production
and water treatment to the entrepreneurs, but have hired the other private
company to operate such service such as
Amata City Industrial Estate hires BJT which is the subsidiary of Pathum Thani
Water, to produce tap water and
render service of water treatment for companies in such industrial estate, and
Bang-poo Industrial Estate hire Global
Utilities Services Co., Ltd. and Global Environmental Technology Co., Ltd. to
produce tap water and render service
of water treatment respectively.
BLDC's tap water production project is located in Bangpa-in
Industrial Estate in Ayutthaya Province which
is under supervision of IEAT. IEAT also operates industrial estate business
with other entrepreneurs in Ayutthaya
Province such as Ban Wah (Hi-tech) Industrial Estate and Saharattana Nakhon
Industrial Estate. Details are as
follows:
Page 38 of the total 92 pages
The
Opinion Report of the Independent Financial Advisor
Area for sale/rent (rai) Remaining
industrial Tap water/ Treatment Water fee Waste water
area (rai)
Groundwater system (Bt./cu.m.) treatment fee
system (cu.m./day) (Bt./cu.m.)
General I-EA-T General I-EA-T
(cu.m./day)
Zone Free Zone Zone Free Zone
1. Bangpa-in 1/ 1,172 166 17.31
10.77 48,000 12,000* 22.50 7.00 - 9.00
2. Ban Wah 2/ 1,034 592 145.00
- 21,000 16,800 13.50 8.00
3. Saharattana Nakhon 3/ 867 - 405.00
- 11,960 16,800 22.00 8.00
(more)